National League | Gameweek 20

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Lner Community Stadium

York City
1 - 3
Hartlepool

Cordner (90+4')
Green (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hastie (7'), Crawford (16'), Featherstone (51')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: York City 2-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for York City had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Hartlepool United
34.88% ( 0.26)	25.32% ( 0.06)	39.79% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

-0.25)

47.33% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

-0.23)

69.55% (

0.22)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

0.04)

26.24% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

0.05)

61.34% (

-0.06)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.44% (

-0.28)

23.55% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.39% (

-0.4)

57.61% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

York City 34.88%

Hartlepool United 39.79%

Draw 25.32%

York City	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.88%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.79%