National League | Gameweek 21

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Lner Community Stadium

York City
2 - 0
Oxford City

Cordner (6'), Davies (17')
John-Lewis (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: York City 1-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-4 Oxford City
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Oxford City
49.37% ( -0.84)	23.74% ( 0.23)	26.88% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.16% (

-0.58)

43.83% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.78% (

-0.56)

66.22% (

0.56)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

-0.54)

17.87% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36% (

-0.93)

48.63% (

0.93)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2% (

0.16)

29.79% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13% (

0.19)

65.87% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

York City 49.37%

Oxford City 26.88%

Draw 23.74%

York City	Draw	Oxford City
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.37%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.19% Total : 26.88%