National League Gameweek 21
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Tyler Cordner 6' goal
  • Will Davies 17' goal
  • Lenell John-Lewis 59' yellowcard

York City vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm
York City 1 - 3 Hartlepool
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Oxford City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 0 - 4 Oxford City
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Josh Parker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result

York City 49.37% (-0.85)
Draw 23.74% (+0.24)
Oxford City 26.88% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.66% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.16% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 43.83% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 33.78% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 66.22% (+0.56)
Over 4.5 17.36% (-0.42)
Under 4.5 82.64% (+0.42)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 82.13% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 17.87% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 51.36% (-0.94)
Under 1.5 48.63% (+0.93)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 70.2% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 29.79% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 34.13% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 65.87% (-0.20)

Score analysis

York City 49.37%
Draw 23.74%
Oxford City 26.88%
York City
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 9.17% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.74%
Oxford City
1-2 @ 6.72% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 6.45% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.9% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.71% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 26.88%