Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Gateshead |
| 29.68% ( | 23.41% ( | 46.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.58% ( | 40.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.21% ( | 62.79% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( | 26.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( | 61.14% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( | 17.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.99% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.68% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0-3 @ 4.03% ( 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 1-4 @ 2.36% ( 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 46.91% |