Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 47.1% ( | 23.47% | 29.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.16% ( | 40.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.77% ( | 63.22% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( | 17.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.84% ( | 48.16% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( | 26.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( | 61.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.87% Total : 47.1% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.42% |