National League | Gameweek 23

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

New Bucks Head Ground

Kidderminster
2 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Hemmings (45+1', 45+3')
Morgan-Smith (11'), Hobson (58'), McLean (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cousins (45+4'), Samuel (55'), Cisse (82'), Wright (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Kidderminster
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-4 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Ebbsfleet
48.07% ( 0.05)	24.21% ( -0.02)	27.72% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.76% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.67% (

0.1)

45.33% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.33% (

0.09)

67.67% (

-0.09)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

0.06)

18.96% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

0.1)

50.49% (

-0.09)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05% (

0.03)

29.95% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94% (

0.04)

66.06% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 48.07%

Ebbsfleet 27.72%

Draw 24.21%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.07%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.72%