Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.