National League | Gameweek 27

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
1 - 2
Dorking

Sanderson (90+5')
Kirby (42'), McQueen (49'), Coyle (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McManus (66'), Bowerman (81')
Gallagher (11'), Briggs (55'), Taylor (75'), McManus (77')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 0-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 0-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
44.75% ( 0.01)	23.78% ( 0.02)	31.47% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.69% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77% (

-0.07)

41.22% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38% (

-0.08)

63.61% (

0.08)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.31% (

-0.03)

18.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.96% (

-0.04)

50.03% (

0.04)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

-0.05)

25.36% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

-0.07)

60.15% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 44.75%

Dorking Wanderers 31.47%

Draw 23.77%

Oxford City	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 44.75%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.47%