National League | Gameweek 28

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Oxford City

Crawford (55'), Grey (62')
Stephenson (27')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toure (78')
Coyle (76')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Dorking
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Oxford City
59.19%	21.84%	18.97% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

44.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.41% (

66.59%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.42% (

14.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.35% (

42.65%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.87% (

37.12% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.09% (

73.91% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 59.18%

Oxford City 18.97%

Draw 21.84%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.73% Total : 59.18%	1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.84%	0-1 @ 5.36% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.97%