National League | Gameweek 27

Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Stones (3'), Fondop (85')
Hudson (83'), Norman (83'), Fondop (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brennan (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Hartlepool United
41.3% ( -0.13)	24.53% ( -0.02)	34.17% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 59.03% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.17% (

0.14)

43.83% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.78% (

0.13)

66.21% (

-0.14)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.71%

21.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.78% (

54.22% (

-0)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

0.15)

25% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

0.21)

59.65% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 41.3%

Hartlepool United 34.17%

Draw 24.52%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.3%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.17%