Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 26.24% ( | 22.03% ( | 51.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( | 36.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.51% ( | 58.49% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( | 26.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( | 61.48% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( | 14.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.9% ( | 42.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 2-0 @ 3.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.24% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 1-4 @ 3% ( 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 2-4 @ 2% ( 1-5 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 4.47% Total : 51.73% |