Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
26.24% ( 0.25) | 22.03% ( -0.28) | 51.73% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 63.13% ( 1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( 1.58) | 36.36% ( -1.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% ( 1.71) | 58.49% ( -1.71) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.66% ( 1.02) | 26.34% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.52% ( 1.34) | 61.48% ( -1.34) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.71% ( 0.57) | 14.29% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.9% ( 1.1) | 42.1% ( -1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.24% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 3% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.47% Total : 51.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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