Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 52.33% | 22.77% | 24.89% |
| Both teams to score 59.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% | 41.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% | 63.53% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% | 15.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.07% | 44.93% |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% | 29.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% | 66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 5.98% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.11% Total : 24.89% |