Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 43.47% | 25.13% | 31.39% |
| Both teams to score 55.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% | 47.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% | 69.63% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% | 55% |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% | 28.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% | 64.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.47% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.8% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.39% |