Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Stockport County |
| 34.33% | 25.8% | 39.87% |
| Both teams to score 54.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% | 49.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% | 71.54% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% | 27.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% | 63.15% |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% | 24.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% | 58.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.33% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.87% |