Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 52.99% | 24.12% | 22.89% |
| Both teams to score 52.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% | 49.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% | 71.09% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% | 18.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.38% | 49.62% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% | 35.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% | 72.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.47% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.78% 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.89% Total : 22.89% |