National League | Gameweek 26

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
1 - 3
Oldham

Grey (4')
Onariase (81')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Stones (9'), Norwood (16', 64')
Sutton (53'), Lundstram (74'), Raglan (90+2'), Stones (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 4-4 Hartlepool
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Gateshead
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Oldham Athletic
40.67% ( -0.06)	23.42% ( -0.07)	35.91% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 63.5% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.84% (

0.37)

38.16% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.57% (

0.39)

60.43% (

-0.39)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

0.12)

19.17% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.16% (

0.21)

50.84% (

-0.22)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

0.23)

21.43% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.56% (

0.36)

54.44% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 40.67%

Oldham Athletic 35.91%

Draw 23.42%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Oldham Athletic
2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 40.67%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42%	1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.91%