National League | Gameweek 32

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
3 - 2
Oxford City

Morgan-Smith (58'), Lambert (75'), Omotayo (79')
Penny (43'), Lambert (71'), Morgan-Smith (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Parker (17', 44' pen.)
Fleet (36'), Roberts (45+3'), Ashby (68'), Burley (85')

Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 1-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Oxford City
55.99% ( -0.94)	22.75% ( 0.26)	21.27% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.97% (

-0.25)

45.03% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.62% (

-0.25)

67.38% (

0.25)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

-0.41)

15.91% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.85% (

-0.75)

45.15% (

0.75)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

0.52)

35.23% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

0.54)

71.99% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 55.98%

Oxford City 21.27%

Draw 22.74%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.41% Total : 55.98%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.27%