Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 32.67% ( | 23.85% ( | 43.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.92% ( | 41.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.53% ( | 63.46% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( | 24.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% ( | 59.05% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( | 19.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( | 50.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 3.49% 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.31% Total : 43.47% |