National League | Gameweek 28

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 0
Wealdstone

Cisse (34'), Poleon (66' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henry (52'), Dewhurst (64')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Bromley 5-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-2 Wealdstone
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Wealdstone
50.55% ( 0.01)	22.93%	26.51% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.13% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.58% (

-0.01)

40.42% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.2% (

-0.01)

62.79% (

0.01)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.85% (

-0)

16.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4% (

-0)

45.6% (

-0)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71% (

-0.02)

28.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99% (

-0.02)

64% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 50.55%

Wealdstone 26.51%

Draw 22.93%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Wealdstone
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.55%	1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.51%