Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Ebbsfleet United
National League | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Hartlepool United

Ebbsfleet
0 - 1
Hartlepool


Edser (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gomez Mancini (59')
Gomez Mancini (66'), Wallace (87')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 2-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawHartlepool United
37.61% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)23.05% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)36.09% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)58.19% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)19.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)51.66% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.88% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)50.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 37.61%
    Hartlepool United 39.34%
    Draw 23.04%
EbbsfleetDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 39.34%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hartlepool
2-2
Ebbsfleet
Dieseruvwe (6'), Hastie (90')
Ferguson (50'), Johnson (62')
Clifford (9'), Samuel (90+5')
Clifford (50'), Domi (75')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 47
Hartlepool
0-1
Ebbsfleet

Killip (57'), Toure (90+3'), Featherstone (90+9')
Ugwu (78' pen.)
Timlin (48'), Ugwu (80'), Adeloye (87'), (90+10'), McGlashan (90+10')
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ebbsfleet
2-2
Hartlepool
Weston (72', 81')
Payne (24'), Grimes (75')
Umerah (45')
Holohan (32', 42')
Featherstone (68'), Donaldson (80')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Ebbsfleet
0-0
Hartlepool
King (12'), Rance (79')
Noble (85')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hartlepool
0-1
Ebbsfleet
Whitely (71')