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AFC Fylde
National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
Hartlepool United

Fylde
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Haughton (17'), Onariase (20' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hastie (74')
Crawford (52'), Stephenson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Fylde and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Rochdale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fylde in this match.

Result
FyldeDrawHartlepool United
44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)38.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)60.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)17.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (-0.012 -0.01)48.13% (0.012 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72%57.28%
Score Analysis
    Fylde 44.43%
    Hartlepool United 32.36%
    Draw 23.2%
FyldeDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.36%

How you voted: Fylde vs Hartlepool

Fylde
45.5%
Draw
9.1%
Hartlepool United
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Hartlepool
3-1
Fylde
Dieseruvwe (25', 53'), Cooke (33')
Crawford (39'), Grey (68'), Cooke (90+5')
Omotayo (45+2')
Richardson (3')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 50
Fylde
P-P
Hartlepool
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Hartlepool
2-2
Fylde
Toure (3', 59')
Featherstone (61')
Croasdale (81', 83')
Haughton (76'), Philliskirk (94')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 45
Fylde
4-2
Hartlepool
Rowe (3', 79'), Kerr (56' og.), Walters (90')
Birch (42'), Philliskirk (70'), Francis-Angol (80')
Donaldson (46'), Hawkes (75')
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hartlepool
1-2
Fylde
Noble (84' pen.)
Magnay (78'), Noble (90')
Rowe (44'), Gnahoua (74')
Tunnicliffe (34')