National League Gameweek 27
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mill Farm Stadium
  • Danny Ormerod 58' goal
  • Danny Ormerod 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Ebanks-Landell 60'
  • yellowcard Harvey Gilmour 90'+12'

Fylde vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
Rochdale 2 - 0 Fylde
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Nick Haughton

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
Rochdale 2 - 0 Fylde
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kairo Mitchell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result

Fylde 41.31% (-0.04)
Draw 24.43% (+0.01)
Rochdale 34.26% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.42% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 34.27% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 65.73% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.72% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.28% (+0.02)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5 78.93% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 21.07% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.11% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.89% (+0.04)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 75.28% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.71% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.74% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.26% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fylde 41.31%
Draw 24.42%
Rochdale 34.26%
Fylde
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.42%
Rochdale
1-2 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.26%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 26
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Ian Henderson 45' goal
  • Tyrese Sinclair 86' yellowcard
  • Cameron John 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Kwaku Oduroh 90'+5' goal
  • Tyrese Sinclair 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Connor Barrett 36'