Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 26
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
AFC Fylde

Rochdale
2 - 0
Fylde

Henderson (45'), Oduroh (90+5')
Sinclair (86'), John (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barrett (36')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Halifax 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawFylde
50.68% (0.1 0.1)22.97% (0.013000000000002 0.01)26.35% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 59.84% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26% (-0.144 -0.14)40.73% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)63.12% (0.15 0.15)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45.72% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.157 -0.16)28.57% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.197 -0.2)64.36% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 50.68%
    Fylde 26.35%
    Draw 22.97%
RochdaleDrawFylde
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 26.35%