National League | Gameweek 28

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
2 - 0
Kidderminster

Sinclair (59'), Henderson (71')
Gordon (67'), Keohane (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Richards (16'), Robinson (70')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Rochdale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
53.23% ( -0.01)	23.94% ( -0)	22.83% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

48.36% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.5% (

70.5% (

-0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89% (

-0)

18.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95% (

-0)

49.04% (

-0)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

35.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

72.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 53.23%

Kidderminster Harriers 22.83%

Draw 23.94%

Rochdale	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.23%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.93% Total : 22.83%