National League | Gameweek 29

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
4 - 2
Aldershot

Hemmings (30' pen., 38'), Morgan-Smith (48'), Omotayo (78')
Preston (85')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Stokes (6'), Harries (25' pen.)
Scott (65'), Widdrington (77'), Tolaj (84')

Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 2-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: West Brom 4-1 Aldershot
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Aldershot Town
50.77% ( -0.02)	23.43%	25.79% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.7% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68% (

0.03)

43.32% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.28% (

0.03)

65.71% (

-0.03)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85% (

0.01)

17.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.62% (

47.37% (

-0)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

0.03)

30.36% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45% (

0.04)

66.55% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 50.77%

Aldershot Town 25.79%

Draw 23.43%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.77%	1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.79%