FA Cup
Jan 7, 2024 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Nathaniel Chalobah 7' goal
  • Jovan Malcolm 15' goal
  • Daryl Dike 27' goal
  • Nathaniel Chalobah 39' yellowcard
  • Tom Fellows 88' goal
  • yellowcard Cian Harries 33'
  • yellowcard Theo Widdrington 35'
  • yellowcard T. Widdrington 35'
  • goal Oliver Bray 90'+5'

West Bromwich Albion vs Aldershot Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 12%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result

West Bromwich Albion 70.15% (-0.08)
Draw 17.84% (+0.03)
Aldershot Town 12% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.34% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.87% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 40.13% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.5% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 62.5% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.17% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.83% (-0.02)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 89.73% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 10.27% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 66.35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.64% (+0.03)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5 56.1% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 43.9% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 19.96% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 80.04% (-0.08)

Score analysis

West Bromwich Albion 70.15%
Draw 17.84%
Aldershot Town 12%
West Bromwich Albion
2-0 @ 11.67% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.86% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.29%
4-0 @ 5.04% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 70.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 17.84%
Aldershot Town
0-1 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.48% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 12%