Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Barnet |
| 34.84% | 23.71% | 41.45% |
| Both teams to score 62.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.24% ( | 39.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( | 62.11% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% | 22.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( | 56.39% |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( | 19.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( | 51.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.27% Total : 34.84% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.24% Total : 41.45% |