Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | York City |
| 45.58% ( | 24.83% ( | 29.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% ( | 46.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( | 69.19% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( | 20.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( | 53.23% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( | 29.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( | 65.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.59% |