National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
1 - 4
Rochdale

McCallum (31')
Nwabuokei (56')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mitchell (28', 79'), Keohane (44'), Rodney (71')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 3-3 Solihull
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Woking
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Rochdale
35.05% ( -0.11)	24.17% ( -0.01)	40.78% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 60.52% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.02% (

0.03)

41.98% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.62% (

0.03)

64.38% (

-0.02)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.05)

23.64% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27% (

-0.07)

57.73% (

0.08)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

0.07)

20.74% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.63% (

0.11)

53.37% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 35.05%

Rochdale 40.78%

Draw 24.17%

Eastleigh	Draw	Rochdale
2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.05%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 40.78%