National League Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Paul McCallum 31' goal
  • Solomon Nwabuokei 56' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 28'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 44'
  • goal Devante Rodney 71'
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 79'

Eastleigh vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Eastleigh 3 - 3 Solihull
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Paul McCallum

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Rochdale 2 - 1 Woking
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kairo Mitchell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result

Eastleigh 35.05% (-0.12)
Draw 24.17% (-0.01)
Rochdale 40.78% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.52% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.02% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 41.98% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 35.62% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 64.38% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 18.73% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.27% (-0.02)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5 76.36% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 23.64% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.27% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.73% (+0.08)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 79.26% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 20.74% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 46.63% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 53.37% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Eastleigh 35.05%
Draw 24.17%
Rochdale 40.78%
Eastleigh
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 35.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
Rochdale
1-2 @ 8.75% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.71% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.07% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.78%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Ian Henderson 10' goal
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 29' yellowcard
  • Kairo Mitchell 45'+3' goal
  • Cameron John 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Solomon Nwabuokei 19'
  • yellowcard Ryan Clampin 35'
  • yellowcard Charlie Carter 45'
  • yellowcard Jake Taylor 52'
  • yellowcard Enzio Boldewijn 80'