National League | Gameweek 37

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 1
Rochdale

Poleon (15'), Samuel (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mitchell (41')
East (57'), Hayes (90+1')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 1-4 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 3-0 Wealdstone
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Rochdale
47.86% ( -0.02)	24.49% ( 0)	27.65% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.78% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39% (

-0.01)

46.61% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

-0)

68.88% (

0.01)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

-0.01)

19.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.54% (

-0.01)

51.46% (

0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33% (

0.01)

30.67% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

0.01)

66.91% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 47.86%

Rochdale 27.65%

Draw 24.49%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.86%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 27.65%