National League Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Dominic Poleon 15' goal
  • Dominic Samuel 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan East 57'
  • yellowcard Cian Hayes 90'+1'

Ebbsfleet vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
Dorking 1 - 4 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Rochdale 3 - 0 Wealdstone
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kairo Mitchell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result

Ebbsfleet 47.86% (-0.02)
Draw 24.49% (+0.01)
Rochdale 27.65% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.78% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.39% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 46.61% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.88% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.45% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.54% (+0.01)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 80.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.55% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.54% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.46% (+0.02)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 69.33% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.67% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.08% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.91% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 47.86%
Draw 24.49%
Rochdale 27.65%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.49%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 7.09% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.65%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Adam Clayton 27' yellowcard
  • Cameron John 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Cisse 30'
  • goal Luke O'Neill 36'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Neill 49'
  • yellowcard Billy Clifford 67'
  • yellowcard Franklin Domi 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Josh Wright 90'+9'