Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 46.08% ( | 24.29% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( | 44.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( | 19.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( | 51.32% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( | 28.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% ( | 63.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.08% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.63% |