Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Wealdstone

Rochdale
3 - 0
Wealdstone

Ebanks-Landell (26'), Hayes (44', 45+2')
Gilmour (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Cook (29'), Mason (42'), Dyer (57'), Mundle-Smith (61')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawWealdstone
46.08% (0.031000000000006 0.03)24.29% (0.111 0.11)29.63% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 57.83% (-0.472 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.47% (-0.58 -0.58)44.53% (0.581 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.1% (-0.564 -0.56)66.9% (0.565 0.56)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)19.46% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (-0.359 -0.36)51.32% (0.36 0.36)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.389 -0.39)28.19% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)63.89% (0.494 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 46.08%
    Wealdstone 29.63%
    Draw 24.3%
RochdaleDrawWealdstone
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.163 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Wealdstone
3-2
Rochdale
Cook (45+4', 90+5'), Adarkwa (56')
Kretzschmar (25'), Charles (52'), Mason (67'), Barker (90+3')
Mitchell (10'), East (53')
Gilmour (86')