National League | Gameweek 23

Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. George's Stadium

Wealdstone
3 - 3
Aldershot

Adarkwa (32'), Ferguson (34'), Obiero (47')
Kretzschmar (49'), Henry (69'), Mason (75')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Barham (20'), Tolaj (24'), Thomas (90+1')
Menayese (12'), Widdrington (82'), Widdrington (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 2-0 Halifax
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Aldershot 3-1 Rochdale
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Aldershot Town
46.82% ( 0.02)	22.53% ( 0)	30.65% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 64.84% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

-0.02)

35.58% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.36% (

-0.02)

57.64% (

0.02)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.31% (

15.68% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.26% (

44.74% (

-0)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.02)

23.1% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

-0.03)

56.95% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 46.82%

Aldershot Town 30.65%

Draw 22.53%

Wealdstone	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.65%