National League | Gameweek 31

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
3 - 1
Rochdale

Tolaj (6'), Harries (44' pen.), Barham (51')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Henderson (11')
Armstrong (84'), Keohane (86')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Bromley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 2-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Rochdale
34.34% ( 0)	24.85%	40.81% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.7%

45.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.36%

67.64%

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

25.59% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53%

60.47%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

-0)

22.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45% (

-0)

55.55% (

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 34.34%

Rochdale 40.81%

Draw 24.85%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Rochdale
2-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.34%	1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.81%