Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.