Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 66.62% ( | 18.27% ( | 15.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( | 34.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( | 56.54% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.37% ( | 9.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.82% ( | 32.18% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( | 35.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( | 72.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 5-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 4.46% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.27% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 15.11% |