National League | Gameweek 23

Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Altrincham

Banks (24'), Berry (83')
Dobra (68'), Berry (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Conn (45')
Angus (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Altrincham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Chesterfield 5-0 Gateshead
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 12.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Altrincham
70.33% ( -2.13)	17.55% ( 1.01)	12.12% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.59% (

-1.8)

38.41% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.3% (

-1.93)

60.7% (

1.93)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.23% (

-0.96)

9.77% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.51% (

-2.28)

32.49% (

2.27)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.43% (

0.69)

42.57% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07% (

0.59)

78.93% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 70.32%

Altrincham 12.12%

Draw 17.55%

Chesterfield	Draw	Altrincham
2-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.33) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.32%	1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.55%	0-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.12%