National League | Gameweek 16

Jan 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
5 - 0
Gateshead

Grigg (12', 45+2', 54' pen.), Naylor (33'), Jacobs (45+3')
Oldaker (8')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Richardson (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: York City 2-0 Gateshead
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Gateshead
52.04% ( 0.01)	22.68% ( 0)	25.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.67% (

-0)

40.33% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.3% (

-0)

62.7% (

0.01)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.4% (

15.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.42% (

0.01)

44.58% (

-0)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

-0.01)

29.16% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9% (

-0.01)

65.1% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 52.04%

Gateshead 25.28%

Draw 22.68%

Chesterfield	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.04%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.68%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.3% Total : 25.28%