Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
| 63.96% ( | 19.89% ( | 16.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( | 40.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( | 62.6% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.08% ( | 11.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.73% ( | 37.26% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% ( | 38.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.22% ( | 74.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 3.82% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.89% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 1-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.14% |