National League | Gameweek 33

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
2 - 0
Rochdale

Stead (2', 72')
Pritchard (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayes (37'), Brooks (73'), Sassi (87'), Ebanks-Landell (90+1')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Barnet
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Rochdale
54.45% ( -0.21)	22.28% ( 0.04)	23.28% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 58.84% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48% (

-0.01)

40.52% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1% (

-0.01)

62.9% (

0.02)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.14% (

-0.07)

14.86% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.82% (

-0.14)

43.18% (

0.14)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11% (

0.13)

30.89% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.82% (

0.16)

67.18% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Barnet 54.45%

Rochdale 23.28%

Draw 22.27%

Barnet	Draw	Rochdale
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.45%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 23.28%