National League | Gameweek 38

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
2 - 2
Oxford City

Mitchell (11'), Mather (77')
Mitchell (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Greenslade (27'), Parker (35')
Phillips (57'), Ashby (81'), Parker (90+6'), O'Connell (90+8')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 2-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Oxford City
69.32% ( -0)	17.52%	13.16%

Both teams to score 55.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.46%

35.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.41%

57.59%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.75% (

9.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.72%

31.28%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.94%

39.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.22% (

75.78% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 69.31%

Oxford City 13.16%

Draw 17.52%

Rochdale	Draw	Oxford City
2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.6% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-2 @ 1.02% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.6% Total : 69.31%	1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.52%	1-2 @ 3.8% 0-1 @ 3.4% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.75% Total : 13.16%