National League | Gameweek 37

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
1 - 2
Aldershot

Coyle (27')
Fleet (42')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tolaj (12'), Stokes (38')
Tolaj (69'), Rowe (79')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 4-0 Oxford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 4-1 Aldershot
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.13%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aldershot Town in this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Aldershot Town
33.68% ( 0.28)	22.52% ( 0.03)	43.8% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 66.37% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.82% (

-0.06)

34.18% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.93% (

-0.07)

56.07% (

0.07)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

0.12)

20.75% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62% (

0.18)

53.38% (

-0.19)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74% (

-0.15)

16.26% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.21% (

-0.27)

45.79% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 33.68%

Aldershot Town 43.81%

Draw 22.52%

Oxford City	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 33.68%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.81%