National League | Gameweek 42

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Lner Community Stadium

York City
2 - 1
Chesterfield

Kouhyar (54'), Akinyemi (71')
Hunt (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Quigley (6')
Naylor (66'), Grimes (69')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Bromley 0-2 York City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-0 Boreham Wood
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

100

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Chesterfield
28.5% ( -0.15)	23.51% ( 0.02)	47.99% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 59.79% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.38% (

-0.22)

41.61% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.98% (

-0.22)

64.01% (

0.22)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

-0.21)

27.48% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02% (

-0.27)

62.98% (

0.27)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

-0.04)

17.55% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.91% (

-0.07)

48.08% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

York City 28.5%

Chesterfield 47.99%

Draw 23.51%

York City	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.5%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.99%