Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 44.29% ( | 25.02% ( | 30.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( | 47.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( | 69.44% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( | 21.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( | 54.3% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( | 28.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( | 64.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.7% |