National League | Gameweek 41

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
3 - 0
Boreham Wood

Grimes (28', 67'), Mandeville (46')
Palmer (9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sass-Davies (66')

The Match

Match Report

Chesterfield ease to a 3-0 victory over Boreham Wood to seal promotion back to the Football League with five games of their National League season still to play.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Boreham Wood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Halifax 4-2 Chesterfield
Wednesday, March 20 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boreham Wood

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 10.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Boreham Wood
73.62% ( -0.09)	15.56% ( 0.05)	10.82% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.81% (

-0.12)

32.19% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.21% (

-0.14)

53.79% (

0.14)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.5% (

-0.05)

7.49% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.09% (

-0.12)

26.91% (

0.12)

Boreham Wood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.47% (

-0)

40.53% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

-0)

77.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 73.61%

Boreham Wood 10.82%

Draw 15.56%

Chesterfield	Draw	Boreham Wood
2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 73.61%	1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.56%	1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.82%