Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 15.26% ( | 18.31% ( | 66.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.55% ( | 34.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.63% ( | 56.37% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( | 35.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( | 72.25% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.36% ( | 9.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.81% ( | 32.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 1-0 @ 3.54% ( 2-0 @ 1.84% ( 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 3-1 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.26% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.31% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0-1 @ 8% ( 1-3 @ 7.56% ( 0-3 @ 7.3% ( 1-4 @ 4.42% ( 0-4 @ 4.27% ( 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 2-4 @ 2.29% ( 1-5 @ 2.07% ( 0-5 @ 2% ( 2-5 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 4.47% Total : 66.43% |