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National League | Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium
Chesterfield

Dorking
4 - 1
Chesterfield

Pybus (9'), Rutherford (25', 66'), Blair (48')
Pybus (75'), Taylor (87'), Fuller (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Palmer (45+1')
Clements (27')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 1-4 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 0-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawChesterfield
15.26% (-0.338 -0.34)18.31% (-0.149 -0.15)66.43% (0.486 0.49)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.297 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.55% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)34.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01)56.37% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (-0.414 -0.41)35.49% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (-0.432 -0.43)72.25% (0.429 0.43)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.11499999999999 0.11)9.64% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.81% (0.273 0.27)32.18% (-0.276 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 15.26%
    Chesterfield 66.43%
    Draw 18.31%
Dorking WanderersDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 4.29% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 3.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 1.84% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 15.26%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.31%
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 8% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 7.56% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.3% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 4.42% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 4.27% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 2.07% (0.029 0.03)
0-5 @ 2% (0.05 0.05)
2-5 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 66.43%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Chesterfield
4-3
Dorking
Colclough (23'), Mandeville (64', 82'), Quigley (90+10')
Williams (24'), Naylor (86')
Prior (28', 53'), Bowerman (90+3')
Taylor (27'), Cook (45+5'), Fuller (52'), McShane (72'), Gallagher (86')
Cook (81')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Chesterfield
3-1
Dorking
Tshimanga (45+3' pen.), Dobra (84'), Quigley (86')
McShane (58')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dorking
2-2
Chesterfield
McShane (67'), Moore (77')
Gallagher (23'), McManus (37'), Philpot (86')
Asante (18'), Dobra (41')
Dobra (8'), Horton (37'), Mandeville (79')
Lucas (28'), Horton (90+5')