National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 2
Chesterfield

Norwood (13' pen.), Gardner (23')
Kitching (62'), Gardner (63'), Garner (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hobson (27'), Quigley (63' pen.)
Tyrer (11'), Sheckleford (47'), Quigley (66'), Oldaker (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Oldham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Chesterfield
28.94% ( -0.06)	24.31% ( 0)	46.74% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55% (

-0.06)

45% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.64% (

-0.06)

67.36% (

0.06)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

-0.07)

28.91% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-0.09)

64.78% (

0.09)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.63% (

-0)

19.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.83% (

-0)

51.17% (

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 28.94%

Chesterfield 46.74%

Draw 24.31%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.94%	1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 46.74%