National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
6 - 1
York City

Jones (2'), Amaluzor (26'), Southern-Cooper (45'), Newby (71', 86'), Conn (81')
Kosylo (25'), Ross (84')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kouhyar (65')

Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 0-1 Woking
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 York City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for York City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	York City
49.97% ( 0.23)	24.5% ( -0.07)	25.53% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.8% (

0.16)

48.2% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.64% (

0.15)

70.35% (

-0.15)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

0.16)

19.32% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.92% (

0.26)

51.07% (

-0.26)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.83% (

-0.05)

33.17% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22% (

-0.05)

69.77% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 49.96%

York City 25.53%

Draw 24.49%

Altrincham	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 49.96%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.53%