Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 59.64% ( | 21.61% ( | 18.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( | 43.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( | 65.92% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( | 14.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.06% ( | 41.94% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( | 36.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( | 73.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 2-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.63% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.74% |