National League | Gameweek 35

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

York Road Stadium

Maidenhead
1 - 2
Southend

Lokko (43')
Mitchell-Lawson (29'), Pettit (45+2'), Barratt (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Crowther (12'), Waldron (58')
Bridge (90+1')

Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 0-0 Southend
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Southend United
25.03% ( -5.34)	25.16% ( -1.43)	49.81% ( 6.76)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.69% (

2.56)

51.31% (

-2.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86% (

2.2)

73.13% (

-2.2)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

-2.84)

35.27% (

2.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.97% (

-3.08)

72.02% (

3.08)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38% (

4.2)

20.61% (

-4.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.83% (

6.23)

53.16% (

-6.24)

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 25.03%

Southend United 49.81%

Draw 25.15%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -1.49) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.88) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -1.15) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.54) Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.03%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.67) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.78) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 1.25) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.89) 0-3 @ 4.77% ( 1.14) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.54) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.62) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.6% Total : 49.81%