Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 50.21% ( | 23.76% ( | 26.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( | 44.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( | 66.97% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( | 17.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( | 48.58% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( | 30.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( | 67.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 26.02% |