National League | Gameweek 16

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
2 - 1
Dorking

Linney (5'), Kosylo (11')
Marriott (45+3'), Kosylo (51'), Angus (75'), Angus (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Blair (60' pen.)
Cook (11'), Taylor (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 4-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
56.08% ( 0.74)	21.99% ( -0.08)	21.93% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 58.01% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.22% (

-0.42)

40.78% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.83% (

-0.43)

63.17% (

0.43)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.58% (

0.09)

14.41% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.66% (

0.19)

42.33% (

-0.19)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

-0.82)

32.22% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

-0.95)

68.71% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 56.09%

Dorking Wanderers 21.93%

Draw 21.98%

Altrincham	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.09%	1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.5% Total : 21.93%