National League Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The J. Davidson Stadium
  • Regan Linney 5' goal
  • Matthew Kosylo 11' goal
  • Isaac Marriott 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Regan Linney 45'+3' redcard
  • Matthew Kosylo 51' yellowcard
  • Dior Angus 75' yellowcard
  • Dior Angus 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Cook 11'
  • yellowcard Josh Taylor 45'+5'
  • goal Tom Blair 60'

Altrincham vs Dorking Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Dag & Red 3 - 1 Altrincham
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Christopher Conn

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 12.30pm
Dorking 4 - 1 Chesterfield
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Jason Prior

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.

Result

Altrincham 56.08% (+0.75)
Draw 21.99% (-0.09)
Dorking Wanderers 21.93% (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.01% (-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.22% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 40.78% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 36.83% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 63.17% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 19.65% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 80.34% (+0.33)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5 85.58% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 14.41% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 57.66% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 42.33% (-0.19)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 67.78% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 32.22% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 31.29% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 68.71% (+0.95)

Score analysis

Altrincham 56.09%
Draw 21.98%
Dorking Wanderers 21.93%
Altrincham
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 8.71% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 6.37% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.09% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.72% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.64% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.98%
Dorking Wanderers
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.93%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jimmy Muitt 13' goal
  • Harry Ottaway 60' goal
  • Jason Prior 71' goal
  • goal Regan Linney 5'
  • goal Maxi Oyedele 8'
National League Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT The J. Davidson Stadium
  • Ryan Colclough 45'+1' goal
  • Toby Mullarkey 49' goal
  • Aaron Bennett 66' goal
  • Marcus Dinanga 87' goal
  • goal Daniel Gallagher 74'