National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Lner Community Stadium

York City
1 - 0
Aldershot

John-Lewis (90')
Latty-Fairweather (15'), John-Lewis (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rowe (42'), Stokes (67'), O'Keefe (71'), Harries (86')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 6-1 York City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 4-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Aldershot Town
43.92% ( -0.17)	23.72% ( -0.01)	32.35% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 61.3% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.4% (

0.11)

40.59% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.02% (

0.11)

62.97% (

-0.12)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22% (

-0.03)

18.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.81% (

-0.04)

50.18% (

0.04)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47% (

0.16)

24.52% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41% (

0.22)

58.99% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

York City 43.92%

Aldershot Town 32.35%

Draw 23.72%

York City	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.92%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.35%