National League Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lner Community Stadium
  • Thierry Latty-Fairweather 15' yellowcard
  • Lenell John-Lewis 90' goal
  • Lenell John-Lewis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Coby Rowe 42'
  • yellowcard Josh Stokes 67'
  • yellowcard Stuart O'Keefe 71'
  • yellowcard Cian Harries 86'

York City vs Aldershot Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Altrincham 6 - 1 York City
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Aldershot 4 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Lorent Tolaj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result

York City 43.92% (-0.18)
Draw 23.72% (-0.02)
Aldershot Town 32.35% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.3% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.4% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 40.59% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 37.02% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 62.97% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 19.8% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.2% (-0.10)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 81.22% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 18.78% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 49.81% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 50.18% (+0.04)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.47% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 24.52% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 41% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 58.99% (-0.24)

Score analysis

York City 43.92%
Draw 23.72%
Aldershot Town 32.35%
York City
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 43.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.36% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.72%
Aldershot Town
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.56% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.13% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.35%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Aaron Jones 41' goal
  • Cian Harries 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Kwame Thomas 60' yellowcard
  • Aaron Jones 66' yellowcard
  • Tyler Frost 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Levi Andoh 74'
  • yellowcard Tyler Cordner 83'
  • goal Lenell John-Lewis 90'+3'
National League Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bootham Crescent
  • Lenell John-Lewis 56' goal
  • Corey Jordan 70' goal
  • goal Haji Mnoga 16'
  • goal Tyler Frost 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Tyler Cordner 6' goal
  • Tommy Willard 78' goal
  • goal Lenell John-Lewis 60'
National League
Jan 28, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cheye Alexander 45' yellowcard
  • Idris Kanu 51' yellowcard
  • Kundai Benyu 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Parkin 74'
  • redcard Jon Parkin 92'
National League
Oct 1, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Shaun Rooney 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Evans 27'
  • goal Bernard Mensah 29'
  • yellowcard Nick Arnold 70'
  • yellowcard Matthew McClure 81'
League Two
Jan 19, 2013 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David McGurk 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieron Cadogan 85'