National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
4 - 1
Ebbsfleet

Tolaj (32', 45+1'), Daly (49'), Glover (67')
Daly (36')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Edser (4')
Wright (38'), Chapman (61')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Oldham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
44.33% ( -0.31)	23.94% ( 0.1)	31.73% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 60.24% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13% (

-0.39)

41.87% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.72% (

-0.39)

64.28% (

0.39)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-0.29)

19.13% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.23% (

-0.48)

50.76% (

0.47)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

-0.07)

25.51% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

-0.09)

60.37% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 44.33%

Ebbsfleet 31.73%

Draw 23.93%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.33%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.73%